The EU's 2040 Credit Facility Risks Climate Destruction

April 14 2025

A new analysis by Carbon Market Watch reveals that the first batch of Article 6.4 international carbon credits could be overestimated by a factor of 27, highlighting the risks of using them to meet the EU’s 2040 climate target.

The analysis focuses on a CDM-era cookstove project, the first project recognized for issuing carbon credits under Article 6.4. To date, the project seeks to issue at least 468,860 carbon credits, which supposedly represent avoided emissions.

However, the Carbon Market Watch analysis concludes that the actual climate impact is likely only ~17,094 tCO₂e, suggesting the project is on track to issue 27.4 times more credits than it should.

Source and Credits to Carbon Market Watch

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